Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 45%

6 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$306.09

Smart Money Signal

7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares644

Combined PnL-$495.24

Down6 traders

Total Value$388.48

Total Shares388

Combined PnL+$189.15

Up — 54%Down — 46%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 40.2¢	$252.08	$315.69	+$63.61	51% 7184-6826 (14010)
└ Up leg	Upavg 40.2¢	$165.52	—	-$165.52
└ Down leg	Downavg 27.4¢	$86.57	$315.69	+$229.13
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 64¢	$189.39	—	-$189.39	57% 70341-53444 (123785)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Upavg 78.1¢	$234.21	—	-$234.21	48% 23173-25375 (48548)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530ARB<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$178.91	$107.54	-$71.37	56% 57773-44618 (102391)
└ Up leg	Upavg 69.5¢	$115.87	—	-$115.87
└ Down leg	Downavg 58.6¢	$63.04	$107.54	+$44.5
ohioismARB<$100	Upavg 56.4¢	$61.69	$79.86	+$18.16	64% 39879-22782 (62661)
└ Down leg	Downavg 33.9¢	$27.06	$79.86	+$52.8
└ Up leg	Upavg 56.4¢	$34.64	—	-$34.64
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 18.3¢	$38.38	$145.86	+$107.48	58% 37571-26826 (64397)
AN antsaslykuARB<$100	Downavg 54.1¢	$67.12	$69.42	+$2.3	66% 111875-58207 (170082)
└ Up leg	Upavg 62.2¢	$29.59	—	-$29.59
└ Down leg	Downavg 54.1¢	$37.53	$69.42	+$31.89
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100	Upavg 72.5¢	$67.65	$50.95	-$16.7	58% 60288-44012 (104300)
└ Up leg	Upavg 72.5¢	$37.08	—	-$37.08
└ Down leg	Downavg 60¢	$30.57	$50.95	+$20.38
AS asidjasiodjaARB<$100	Downavg 63.3¢	$65.51	$64.27	-$1.24	61% 94398-59400 (153798)
└ Down leg	Downavg 63.3¢	$40.66	$64.27	+$23.61
└ Up leg	Upavg 70.2¢	$24.85	—	-$24.85
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 11.5¢	$6.64	$57.56	+$50.92	46% 38032-44873 (82905)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 54.7¢	$37.4	$56.11	+$18.71	55% 17660-14270 (31930)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$70.29	$71	+$0.71	93% 22962-1751 (24713)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 66.2¢	$33.78	$32.77	-$1.01	52% 89831-84292 (174123)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 74¢	$32.99	—	-$30.39	65% 22398-12314 (34712)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 78.1¢	$31.25	—	-$31.25	55% 44484-36982 (81466)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 55.8¢	$9.46	—	-$9.46	66% 125156-64405 (189561)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 51¢	$12.84	$25.18	+$12.34	62% 43666-26656 (70322)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Upavg 60¢	$0.55	—	-$0.55	34% 18655-35650 (54305)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 78¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19919-19076 (38995)