Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 62%
$818.17
-$22.05
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $384.12 | $388 | +$3.88 | 93% 22962-1751 (24713) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 54.9Β’ | $249.29 | $246.93 | -$2.36 | 51% 7184-6826 (14010) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 41.1Β’ | $33.8 | $82.14 | +$48.34 | 57% 70341-53444 (123785) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 63Β’ | $20.02 | $27 | +$6.98 | 55% 44484-36982 (81466) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $30.57 | $35.83 | +$5.26 | 63% 51566-30344 (81910) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.9Β’ | $41.93 | β | -$41.93 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $15.23 | $20 | +$4.77 | 62% 43666-26656 (70322) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 77.1Β’ | $12.4 | $10.18 | -$2.22 | 66% 125156-64405 (189561) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $9.65 | $8.1 | -$1.55 | 61% 94398-59400 (153798) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5Β’ | $3.39 | β | -$3.39 | 58% 37571-26826 (64397) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 79Β’ | $39.56 | β | -$39.56 | 64% 39879-22782 (62661) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.01 | β | -$0.01 | 66% 111875-58207 (170082) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $0.25 | β | -$0.25 | 46% 38032-44873 (82905) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19919-19076 (38995) |
Invested
$384.12
Value
$388
PnL
+$3.88
Record
93%
22962-1751 (24713)
Invested
$249.29
Value
$246.93
PnL
-$2.36
Record
51%
7184-6826 (14010)
Invested
$33.8
Value
$82.14
PnL
+$48.34
Record
57%
70341-53444 (123785)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$20.02
Value
$27
PnL
+$6.98
Record
55%
44484-36982 (81466)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$30.57
Value
$35.83
PnL
+$5.26
Record
63%
51566-30344 (81910)
Invested
$41.93
Value
β
PnL
-$41.93
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$15.23
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.77
Record
62%
43666-26656 (70322)
Invested
$12.4
Value
$10.18
PnL
-$2.22
Record
66%
125156-64405 (189561)
Invested
$9.65
Value
$8.1
PnL
-$1.55
Record
61%
94398-59400 (153798)
Invested
$3.39
Value
β
PnL
-$3.39
Record
58%
37571-26826 (64397)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$39.56
Value
β
PnL
-$39.56
Record
64%
39879-22782 (62661)
Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
-$0.01
Record
66%
111875-58207 (170082)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
β
PnL
-$0.25
Record
46%
38032-44873 (82905)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19919-19076 (38995)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $388
ply-pm2
Down β $246.93
uninformedfloww
Down β $82.14

MayorMamdani
Down β $27

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $35.83
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $20
asdaefef
Down β $10.18
asidjasiodja
Down β $8.1
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0