Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 78%
$293.21
$28.39
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 58.9Β’ | $167.72 | $143.5 | -$24.22 | 51% 7184-6826 (14010) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $20.22 | $35.47 | +$15.25 | 58% 60288-44012 (104300) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 48.8Β’ | $15.47 | $31.72 | +$16.25 | 58% 37571-26826 (64397) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 64Β’ | $9.64 | β | -$9.64 | 66% 125156-64405 (189561) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 79.7Β’ | $14.94 | $15.49 | +$0.55 | 63% 51566-30344 (81910) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 86Β’ | $6.13 | β | -$6.13 | 51% 19919-19076 (38995) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 46.4Β’ | $16.7 | $36 | +$19.3 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $6.85 | $15.95 | +$9.1 | 55% 44484-36982 (81466) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 47.4Β’ | $7.15 | $15.08 | +$7.93 | 61% 94398-59400 (153798) |
Invested
$167.72
Value
$143.5
PnL
-$24.22
Record
51%
7184-6826 (14010)
Invested
$20.22
Value
$35.47
PnL
+$15.25
Record
58%
60288-44012 (104300)
Invested
$15.47
Value
$31.72
PnL
+$16.25
Record
58%
37571-26826 (64397)
Invested
$9.64
Value
β
PnL
-$9.64
Record
66%
125156-64405 (189561)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.94
Value
$15.49
PnL
+$0.55
Record
63%
51566-30344 (81910)
Invested
$6.13
Value
β
PnL
-$6.13
Record
51%
19919-19076 (38995)
Invested
$16.7
Value
$36
PnL
+$19.3
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.85
Value
$15.95
PnL
+$9.1
Record
55%
44484-36982 (81466)
Invested
$7.15
Value
$15.08
PnL
+$7.93
Record
61%
94398-59400 (153798)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $143.5
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $35.47
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $31.72
asdaefef
CTRUp β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $15.49
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $36

MayorMamdani
Down β $15.95
asidjasiodja
Down β $15.08