Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 42%
2 arb excluded
$439.77
-$77.8
Smart Money Signal
5 of 12 top traders (42%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $182.88 | $184.73 | +$1.85 | 93% 22942-1749 (24691) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 60.1¢ | $108.32 | $98.98 | -$9.34 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.1¢ | $59.5 | $98.98 | +$39.48 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.9¢ | $48.82 | — | -$48.82 | |
KA Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100 | Upavg 70.9¢ | $99.9 | $82.49 | -$17.41 | 55% 17653-14260 (31913) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 70.9¢ | $58.45 | $82.49 | +$24.04 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.3¢ | $41.45 | — | -$41.45 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | $42.39 | — | -$42.39 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $22.59 | $17.52 | -$5.07 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62.6¢ | $11.3 | $18.06 | +$6.76 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $17.63 | — | -$17.63 | 64% 39870-22776 (62646) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $3.51 | — | -$3.51 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10.75 | — | -$10.75 | 62% 43662-26649 (70311) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $13.8 | $30 | +$16.2 | 56% 57762-44611 (102373) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $11.25 | $8 | -$3.25 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.8¢ | $9.97 | — | -$9.97 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.4¢ | $5.35 | — | -$5.35 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.1¢ | $4.68 | — | -$4.68 | 55% 44462-36957 (81419) |
Invested
$182.88
Value
$184.73
PnL
+$1.85
Record
93%
22942-1749 (24691)
Invested
$108.32
Value
$98.98
PnL
-$9.34
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
Both legs:
Invested
$99.9
Value
$82.49
PnL
-$17.41
Record
55%
17653-14260 (31913)
Both legs:
Invested
$42.39
Value
—
PnL
-$42.39
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
Invested
$22.59
Value
$17.52
PnL
-$5.07
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
Invested
$11.3
Value
$18.06
PnL
+$6.76
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$17.63
Value
—
PnL
-$17.63
Record
64%
39870-22776 (62646)
Invested
$3.51
Value
—
PnL
-$3.51
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10.75
Value
—
PnL
-$10.75
Record
62%
43662-26649 (70311)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$16.2
Record
56%
57762-44611 (102373)
Invested
$11.25
Value
$8
PnL
-$3.25
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
Invested
$9.97
Value
—
PnL
-$9.97
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.35
Value
—
PnL
-$5.35
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
—
PnL
-$4.68
Record
55%
44462-36957 (81419)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $184.73
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Kathod-Shi-14
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $17.52
aaa221
Up — $18.06
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $30