Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 50%
$400.91
-$140.73
Smart Money Signal
7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $183.26 | $187 | +$3.74 | 93% 22942-1749 (24691) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 80.6Β’ | $134.28 | $121 | -$13.28 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 69.6Β’ | $128.14 | β | -$128.14 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.4Β’ | $20.29 | β | -$20.29 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $18.7 | $21.74 | +$3.04 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.4Β’ | $18.72 | $17.99 | -$0.73 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 43.6Β’ | $9.4 | $21.57 | +$12.17 | 55% 17653-14260 (31913) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $10.97 | $21.51 | +$10.54 | 62% 43662-26649 (70311) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91.5Β’ | $9.25 | $10.11 | +$0.86 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 59% 62097-43210 (105307) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.6Β’ | $5.23 | β | -$5.23 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $1.2 | β | -$1.2 | 48% 23169-25372 (48541) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 7Β’ | $1.15 | β | -$1.15 | 55% 44462-36957 (81419) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 111846-58190 (170036) |
Invested
$183.26
Value
$187
PnL
+$3.74
Record
93%
22942-1749 (24691)
Invested
$134.28
Value
$121
PnL
-$13.28
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
Invested
$128.14
Value
β
PnL
-$128.14
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
Invested
$20.29
Value
β
PnL
-$20.29
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
Invested
$18.7
Value
$21.74
PnL
+$3.04
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
Invested
$18.72
Value
$17.99
PnL
-$0.73
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$21.57
PnL
+$12.17
Record
55%
17653-14260 (31913)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.97
Value
$21.51
PnL
+$10.54
Record
62%
43662-26649 (70311)
Invested
$9.25
Value
$10.11
PnL
+$0.86
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
59%
62097-43210 (105307)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.23
Value
β
PnL
-$5.23
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
Invested
$1.2
Value
β
PnL
-$1.2
Record
48%
23169-25372 (48541)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
β
PnL
-$1.15
Record
55%
44462-36957 (81419)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111846-58190 (170036)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $187
ply-pm2
Down β $121
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $21.74
asdaefef
Down β $17.99
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $21.57

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $21.51
dvasdkasodk
Down β $10.11
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0