Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 91%
$363.08
$23.37
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $116.05 | $117.22 | +$1.17 | 93% 22942-1749 (24691) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 83Β’ | $93.45 | $109.25 | +$15.8 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79.2Β’ | $19.28 | $21.11 | +$1.83 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $19 | $20 | +$1 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $20.57 | $14.25 | -$6.32 | 55% 44462-36957 (81419) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $17.19 | $17.45 | +$0.26 | 63% 51542-30333 (81875) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 58.6Β’ | $18.05 | $30.8 | +$12.75 | 55% 17653-14260 (31913) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.1Β’ | $10.04 | β | -$10.04 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 73Β’ | $14.6 | $20 | +$5.4 | 56% 57762-44611 (102373) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 76Β’ | $7.64 | $8 | +$0.36 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $3.85 | $5 | +$1.15 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
Invested
$116.05
Value
$117.22
PnL
+$1.17
Record
93%
22942-1749 (24691)
Invested
$93.45
Value
$109.25
PnL
+$15.8
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
Invested
$19.28
Value
$21.11
PnL
+$1.83
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
Invested
$19
Value
$20
PnL
+$1
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$20.57
Value
$14.25
PnL
-$6.32
Record
55%
44462-36957 (81419)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$17.19
Value
$17.45
PnL
+$0.26
Record
63%
51542-30333 (81875)
Invested
$18.05
Value
$30.8
PnL
+$12.75
Record
55%
17653-14260 (31913)
Invested
$10.04
Value
β
PnL
-$10.04
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
Invested
$14.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.4
Record
56%
57762-44611 (102373)
Invested
$7.64
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.36
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
Invested
$3.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.15
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $117.22
ply-pm2
Down β $109.25
aaa221
Down β $21.11
uninformedfloww
Down β $20

MayorMamdani
Down β $14.25

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $17.45
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $30.8
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $20
asidjasiodja
Down β $8