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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 77%

Total Value

$104.86

Combined PnL

-$320.41

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 13 top traders (77%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares503
Combined PnL-$347.03
Down3 traders
Total Value$104.86
Total Shares105
Combined PnL+$26.63
Up — 77%Down — 23%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Up

Invested

$153.75

Value

—

PnL

-$153.75

Record

51%

7170-6800 (13970)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$98.91

Value

—

PnL

-$98.91

Record

57%

70317-53442 (123759)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$54.44

Value

—

PnL

-$54.44

Record

65%

22359-12289 (34648)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$41.7

Value

$49.79

PnL

+$8.09

Record

55%

17653-14260 (31913)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11.58

Value

—

PnL

-$11.58

Record

66%

111846-58190 (170036)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11.14

Value

—

PnL

-$11.14

Record

66%

125109-64377 (189486)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$14.23

Value

$30

PnL

+$15.77

Record

55%

44462-36957 (81419)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$22.31

Value

$25.07

PnL

+$2.76

Record

58%

60278-44004 (104282)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.35

Value

—

PnL

-$5.35

Record

52%

89796-84260 (174056)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.65

Value

—

PnL

-$2.65

Record

62%

43662-26649 (70311)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

58%

37558-26812 (64370)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.8

Value

—

PnL

-$4.8

Record

61%

94365-59372 (153737)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.86

Value

—

PnL

-$1.86

Record

46%

38019-44852 (82871)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x276fef50...a34a02
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793274600

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$153.75
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$98.91
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$54.44
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $49.79

+$8.09
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$11.58
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Up — $0

-$11.14

MayorMamdani

Down — $30

+$15.77
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $25.07

+$2.76
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.35

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.65
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