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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 73%

Total Value

$134.63

Combined PnL

-$326.84

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares807
Combined PnL-$445.91
Up3 traders
Total Value$134.63
Total Shares135
Combined PnL+$119.07
Down — 73%Up — 27%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$274.87

Value

—

PnL

-$274.87

Record

51%

7170-6800 (13970)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$57.93

Value

—

PnL

-$57.93

Record

55%

44462-36957 (81419)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$36.36

Value

—

PnL

-$36.36

Record

65%

22359-12289 (34648)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.94

Value

—

PnL

-$11.94

Record

52%

89796-84260 (174056)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.97

Value

—

PnL

-$23.97

Record

61%

94365-59372 (153737)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.13

Value

—

PnL

-$8.13

Record

63%

51542-30333 (81875)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.86

Value

—

PnL

-$11.86

Record

58%

60278-44004 (104282)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$20.84

Value

—

PnL

-$20.84

Record

66%

125109-64377 (189486)

pspspsps5
Up

Invested

$4.87

Value

$107.97

PnL

+$103.1

Record

46%

38019-44852 (82871)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$6.7

Value

$15.95

PnL

+$9.25

Record

55%

17653-14260 (31913)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$5.8

Value

$10.71

PnL

+$6.71

Record

51%

19907-19065 (38972)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xee6d4bdc...794185
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793274300

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$274.87

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$57.93
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$36.36
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.94
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$23.97

UpandDownSyndrome

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.13
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.86
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$20.84

pspspsps5

Up — $107.97

+$103.1
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $15.95

+$9.25
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