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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 88%

Total Value

$49.79

Combined PnL

-$255.09

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares407

Combined PnL-$280.44

Up1 trader

Total Value$49.79

Total Shares50

Combined PnL+$25.35

Down — 88%Up — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2CTR	Downavg 61.6¢	$168.64	—	-$168.64	51% 7170-6800 (13970)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 58.3¢	$42.3	—	-$42.3	56% 57762-44611 (102373)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 49.1¢	$24.44	$49.79	+$25.35	58% 37558-26812 (64370)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 70¢	$35.13	—	-$35.13	58% 60278-44004 (104282)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$12.22	—	-$12.22	34% 18648-35642 (54290)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 68¢	$10.05	—	-$10.05	55% 44462-36957 (81419)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 70¢	$8.4	—	-$8.4	61% 94365-59372 (153737)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 70¢	$3.7	—	-$3.7	66% 125109-64377 (189486)

Invested

$168.64

Value

—

PnL

-$168.64

Record

51%

7170-6800 (13970)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$42.3

Value

—

PnL

-$42.3

Record

56%

57762-44611 (102373)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$24.44

Value

$49.79

PnL

+$25.35

Record

58%

37558-26812 (64370)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$35.13

Value

—

PnL

-$35.13

Record

58%

60278-44004 (104282)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Invested

$12.22

Value

—

PnL

-$12.22

Record

34%

18648-35642 (54290)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$10.05

Value

—

PnL

-$10.05

Record

55%

44462-36957 (81419)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$8.4

Value

—

PnL

-$8.4

Record

61%

94365-59372 (153737)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$3.7

Value

—

PnL

-$3.7

Record

66%

125109-64377 (189486)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1d222918...035e05

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793271900

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $49.79

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

Little-big

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

asdaefef

Down — $0

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