Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 77%
1 arb excluded
$745.17
-$34.3
Smart Money Signal
10 of 13 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $283.88 | $317.33 | +$33.45 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 39.3¢ | $165.59 | $138.08 | -$27.51 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 39.3¢ | $106.2 | — | -$106.2 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 43¢ | $59.39 | $138.08 | +$78.69 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.5¢ | $71.12 | — | -$71.12 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $95.04 | $96 | +$0.96 | 93% 22942-1749 (24691) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91.1¢ | $34.11 | $35.24 | +$1.13 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $41.5 | $50 | +$8.5 | 74% 102303-36356 (138659) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $35.15 | — | -$35.15 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $17.98 | $35.38 | +$17.4 | 58% 50880-37022 (87902) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $15.13 | $17 | +$1.87 | 55% 44462-36957 (81419) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $21.24 | $25.28 | +$4.04 | 64% 39870-22776 (62646) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90.6¢ | $11.21 | $12.38 | +$1.17 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.4 | — | -$0.4 | 51% 19907-19065 (38972) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $8.5 | $10.62 | +$2.12 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $6.14 | $7.87 | +$1.73 | 56% 57762-44611 (102373) |
pspspsps5Invested
$283.88
Value
$317.33
PnL
+$33.45
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
Invested
$165.59
Value
$138.08
PnL
-$27.51
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
Both legs:
Invested
$71.12
Value
—
PnL
-$71.12
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
Invested
$95.04
Value
$96
PnL
+$0.96
Record
93%
22942-1749 (24691)
Invested
$34.11
Value
$35.24
PnL
+$1.13
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$41.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$8.5
Record
74%
102303-36356 (138659)
Invested
$35.15
Value
—
PnL
-$35.15
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
Invested
$17.98
Value
$35.38
PnL
+$17.4
Record
58%
50880-37022 (87902)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15.13
Value
$17
PnL
+$1.87
Record
55%
44462-36957 (81419)
ohioism<$100Invested
$21.24
Value
$25.28
PnL
+$4.04
Record
64%
39870-22776 (62646)
Invested
$11.21
Value
$12.38
PnL
+$1.17
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
51%
19907-19065 (38972)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$10.62
PnL
+$2.12
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
Invested
$6.14
Value
$7.87
PnL
+$1.73
Record
56%
57762-44611 (102373)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
pspspsps5
Down — $317.33
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $96
asidjasiodja
Down — $35.24
BoneOhio
Down — $50
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
PBot-6
Down — $35.38
MayorMamdani
Down — $17
ohioism
Down — $25.28