Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Up 73%
$195
-$26.02
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 90.6Β’ | $71.22 | $49.4 | -$21.82 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 74.8Β’ | $35.79 | $47.86 | +$12.08 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97.9Β’ | $29.36 | $30 | +$0.64 | 93% 22942-1749 (24691) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50.7Β’ | $20.32 | β | -$20.32 | 58% 50880-37022 (87902) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 89Β’ | $18.21 | $17.98 | -$0.23 | 55% 44462-36957 (81419) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 67.8Β’ | $11.05 | $16.3 | +$5.25 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 79Β’ | $8 | $10.13 | +$2.13 | 51% 19907-19065 (38972) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.2Β’ | $9.67 | β | -$9.67 | 48% 23169-25372 (48541) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | $4.57 | $5 | +$0.43 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.4Β’ | $1.84 | β | -$1.84 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | $3.66 | $6.2 | +$2.54 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | $2.95 | $5 | +$2.05 | 58% 60278-44004 (104282) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 58Β’ | $2.9 | $5 | +$2.1 | 64% 39870-22776 (62646) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $1.13 | $2.13 | +$1 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 27Β’ | $0.37 | β | -$0.37 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
Invested
$71.22
Value
$49.4
PnL
-$21.82
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
Invested
$35.79
Value
$47.86
PnL
+$12.08
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
Invested
$29.36
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.64
Record
93%
22942-1749 (24691)
Invested
$20.32
Value
β
PnL
-$20.32
Record
58%
50880-37022 (87902)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$18.21
Value
$17.98
PnL
-$0.23
Record
55%
44462-36957 (81419)
Invested
$11.05
Value
$16.3
PnL
+$5.25
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
Invested
$8
Value
$10.13
PnL
+$2.13
Record
51%
19907-19065 (38972)
Invested
$9.67
Value
β
PnL
-$9.67
Record
48%
23169-25372 (48541)
Invested
$4.57
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.43
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.84
Value
β
PnL
-$1.84
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
Invested
$3.66
Value
$6.2
PnL
+$2.54
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
Invested
$2.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.05
Record
58%
60278-44004 (104282)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.1
Record
64%
39870-22776 (62646)
Invested
$1.13
Value
$2.13
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
Invested
$0.37
Value
β
PnL
-$0.37
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up β $49.4
uninformedfloww
Up β $47.86
hoodquant
Up β $30
PBot-6
CTRDown β $0

MayorMamdani
Up β $17.98
asidjasiodja
Up β $16.3
devonpoll
Up β $10.13
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRDown β $0
dvasdkasodk
Up β $5

pspspsps5
CTRDown β $0