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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 56%

Total Value

$72.06

Combined PnL

-$52.15

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,096
Combined PnL-$42.52
Up5 traders
Total Value$72.06
Total Shares72
Combined PnL-$9.62
Down — 50%Up — 50%
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.24

Value

—

PnL

-$12.24

Record

48%

23158-25364 (48522)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$15.51

Value

—

PnL

-$15.51

Record

59%

62091-43202 (105293)

TH
thesidehustle<$100
Up

Invested

$32.39

Value

$30

PnL

-$2.39

Record

54%

10671-9116 (19787)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$23.3

Value

$20.06

PnL

-$3.24

Record

66%

125065-64347 (189412)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$20.24

Value

$16

PnL

-$4.24

Record

61%

94330-59348 (153678)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$5.76

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.24

Record

52%

89759-84223 (173982)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.57

Value

—

PnL

-$5.57

Record

58%

37542-26799 (64341)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.89

Value

—

PnL

-$6.89

Record

55%

44432-36934 (81366)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.31

Value

—

PnL

-$2.31

Record

65%

22322-12252 (34574)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19894-19056 (38950)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x00c65f18...08a3bf
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793269200

Traders in this Market

0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Down — $0

-$12.24
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$15.51
TH

thesidehustle

Up — $30

-$2.39
AS

asdaefef

Up — $20.06

-$3.24
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $16

-$4.24
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $6

+$0.24
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.57

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.89
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.31
DE

devonpoll

Up — $0

+$0
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