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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$479.93

Combined PnL

-$23.2

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders
Total Value$152.38
Total Shares152
Combined PnL+$87.85
Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares244
Combined PnL-$111.05
Down β€” 20%Up β€” 80%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x74005806...649c23
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793265000
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