Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Up 55%
$277.91
-$38.14
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 84Β’ | $144.64 | $135.84 | -$8.8 | 51% 7133-6748 (13881) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96.6Β’ | $57.2 | $51.76 | -$5.44 | 61% 94291-59323 (153614) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 90Β’ | $60.01 | $59.08 | +$0.87 | 65% 22283-12231 (34514) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $13.72 | $14 | +$0.28 | 93% 22893-1747 (24640) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8Β’ | $5.53 | β | -$5.53 | 46% 37996-44793 (82789) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.5Β’ | $7.5 | β | -$7.5 | 54% 10645-9096 (19741) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 90.5Β’ | $10.25 | $10 | -$0.25 | 55% 17594-14210 (31804) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.9Β’ | $6.43 | β | -$6.43 | 55% 44407-36899 (81306) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $7.92 | $7.23 | -$0.69 | 66% 125021-64333 (189354) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6Β’ | $3.53 | β | -$3.53 | 49% 77765-81236 (159001) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13Β’ | $1.12 | β | -$1.12 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19890-19043 (38933) |
Invested
$144.64
Value
$135.84
PnL
-$8.8
Record
51%
7133-6748 (13881)
Invested
$57.2
Value
$51.76
PnL
-$5.44
Record
61%
94291-59323 (153614)
Invested
$60.01
Value
$59.08
PnL
+$0.87
Record
65%
22283-12231 (34514)
Invested
$13.72
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.28
Record
93%
22893-1747 (24640)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.53
Value
β
PnL
-$5.53
Record
46%
37996-44793 (82789)
Invested
$7.5
Value
β
PnL
-$7.5
Record
54%
10645-9096 (19741)
Invested
$10.25
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.25
Record
55%
17594-14210 (31804)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.43
Value
β
PnL
-$6.43
Record
55%
44407-36899 (81306)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$7.23
PnL
-$0.69
Record
66%
125021-64333 (189354)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.53
Value
β
PnL
-$3.53
Record
49%
77765-81236 (159001)
Invested
$1.12
Value
β
PnL
-$1.12
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19890-19043 (38933)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up β $135.84
asidjasiodja
Up β $51.76
aaa221
Up β $59.08
hoodquant
Up β $14

pspspsps5
CTRDown β $0
thesidehustle
CTRDown β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $10

MayorMamdani
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $7.23

OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown β $0