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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 58%

Total Value

$93.58

Combined PnL

-$56.51

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$93.58
Total Shares94
Combined PnL+$15.58
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares253
Combined PnL-$72.09
Up — 46%Down — 54%
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$23.75

Value

$35.9

PnL

+$12.15

Record

55%

17594-14210 (31804)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$24.69

Value

$24

PnL

-$0.69

Record

66%

125021-64333 (189354)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$17.85

Value

$19.23

PnL

+$1.38

Record

55%

44407-36899 (81306)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$15.49

Value

—

PnL

-$15.49

Record

54%

10645-9096 (19741)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$27.34

Value

—

PnL

-$27.34

Record

51%

7133-6748 (13881)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.36

Value

—

PnL

-$7.36

Record

58%

60259-43977 (104236)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.44

Value

—

PnL

-$7.44

Record

61%

94291-59323 (153614)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$9.85

Value

$12.45

PnL

+$2.6

Record

65%

22283-12231 (34514)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.55

Value

—

PnL

-$10.55

Record

49%

77765-81236 (159001)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.79

Value

—

PnL

-$2.79

Record

46%

37996-44793 (82789)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$1.85

Value

$1.99

PnL

+$0.14

Record

63%

51496-30306 (81802)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.12

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

52%

89734-84193 (173927)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19890-19043 (38933)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xf3496c7a...61359a
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793261100

Traders in this Market

KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $35.9

+$12.15
AS

asdaefef

Up — $24

-$0.69

MayorMamdani

Up — $19.23

+$1.38
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Down — $0

-$15.49
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$27.34
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.36
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.44
AA

aaa221

Up — $12.45

+$2.6

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.55

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.79
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