Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$270.26

Combined PnL

-$51.66

Down

6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up100%

Down0%

Up6 traders

Total Value$186.39

Total Shares186

Combined PnL+$52.57

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares611

Combined PnL-$104.24

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 46.5¢	$114.7	$83.87	-$30.83	51% 7133-6748 (13881)
└ Down leg	Downavg 46.5¢	$73.66	—	-$73.66
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.9¢	$41.04	$83.87	+$42.83
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 60.2¢	$71.77	$115.7	+$43.93	58% 60259-43977 (104236)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 48.5¢	$58.65	—	-$58.65	55% 17594-14210 (31804)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 7.5¢	$7.16	—	-$7.16	46% 37996-44793 (82789)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 85.4¢	$31.82	$31.75	-$0.07	61% 94291-59323 (153614)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 85.3¢	$11.59	$11.06	-$0.53	66% 125021-64333 (189354)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 56¢	$11.2	—	-$11.2	34% 18628-35622 (54250)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 26.5¢	$8.62	—	-$8.62	54% 10645-9096 (19741)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 78.4¢	$12.04	$13	+$0.96	52% 89734-84193 (173927)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 44.3¢	$6.6	$14.88	+$8.28	64% 39836-22759 (62595)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 5.9¢	$22.65	—	-$22.65	49% 77765-81236 (159001)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 41.1¢	$14.73	—	+$4.04	65% 22283-12231 (34514)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19890-19043 (38933)