Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Up 73%
2 arb excluded
$571.47
$35.84
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $114.6 | $142.99 | +$28.38 | 51% 7133-6748 (13881) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29¢ | $72.07 | — | -$72.07 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.7¢ | $42.53 | $142.99 | +$100.46 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $176.18 | $178.01 | +$1.83 | 93% 22893-1747 (24640) |
TH thesidehustleARB<$100 | Downavg 57.8¢ | $75.35 | $70 | -$5.35 | 54% 10645-9096 (19741) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 57.8¢ | $40.45 | — | -$40.45 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $34.9 | $70 | +$35.1 | |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $38.74 | — | -$38.74 | 65% 22283-12231 (34514) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 63.4¢ | $26.16 | $29.47 | +$3.31 | 66% 125021-64333 (189354) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $7.58 | — | -$7.58 | 46% 37996-44793 (82789) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $16.49 | $10 | -$6.49 | 55% 44407-36899 (81306) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 27.3¢ | $5.24 | $19.18 | +$13.94 | 61% 94291-59323 (153614) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $13.08 | $50.29 | +$37.21 | 56% 57728-44595 (102323) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $8.81 | $18.75 | +$9.94 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 37.8¢ | $6 | $15.88 | +$9.88 | 49% 77765-81236 (159001) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $18.35 | $36.91 | +$18.56 | 55% 17594-14210 (31804) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $6.02 | — | -$6.02 | 63% 51496-30306 (81802) |
Invested
$114.6
Value
$142.99
PnL
+$28.38
Record
51%
7133-6748 (13881)
Both legs:
Invested
$176.18
Value
$178.01
PnL
+$1.83
Record
93%
22893-1747 (24640)
Invested
$75.35
Value
$70
PnL
-$5.35
Record
54%
10645-9096 (19741)
Both legs:
Invested
$38.74
Value
—
PnL
-$38.74
Record
65%
22283-12231 (34514)
Invested
$26.16
Value
$29.47
PnL
+$3.31
Record
66%
125021-64333 (189354)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.58
Value
—
PnL
-$7.58
Record
46%
37996-44793 (82789)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.49
Value
$10
PnL
-$6.49
Record
55%
44407-36899 (81306)
Invested
$5.24
Value
$19.18
PnL
+$13.94
Record
61%
94291-59323 (153614)
Invested
$13.08
Value
$50.29
PnL
+$37.21
Record
56%
57728-44595 (102323)
Invested
$8.81
Value
$18.75
PnL
+$9.94
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6
Value
$15.88
PnL
+$9.88
Record
49%
77765-81236 (159001)
Invested
$18.35
Value
$36.91
PnL
+$18.56
Record
55%
17594-14210 (31804)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.02
Value
—
PnL
-$6.02
Record
63%
51496-30306 (81802)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $178.01
thesidehustle
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $29.47
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $10
asidjasiodja
Up — $19.18
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $50.29
dvasdkasodk
Up — $18.75