Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$422.66
-$61.29
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 42.2¢ | $105.4 | $104.62 | -$0.79 | 51% 7108-6729 (13837) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42.2¢ | $76.38 | — | -$76.38 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 27.7¢ | $29.03 | $104.62 | +$75.59 | |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 68.4¢ | $63.72 | $69.51 | +$5.79 | 61% 94254-59306 (153560) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 59.3¢ | $56.47 | — | -$56.47 | 58% 37525-26772 (64297) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $45.18 | $43.52 | -$1.66 | 64% 39822-22752 (62574) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $39.97 | $37.81 | -$2.16 | 52% 89700-84165 (173865) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $32.91 | $30.73 | -$2.18 | 66% 124974-64321 (189295) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 61.5¢ | $47.55 | $28.18 | -$4.35 | 65% 22230-12205 (34435) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 70.4¢ | $35.33 | $50.18 | +$14.85 | 56% 57718-44587 (102305) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 45.7¢ | $19.48 | $42.63 | +$23.15 | 49% 77753-81199 (158952) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $9.11 | — | -$9.11 | 62% 43648-26624 (70272) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 74.1¢ | $22.39 | — | -$22.39 | 55% 44381-36870 (81251) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $13.62 | $15.48 | +$1.86 | 55% 17546-14181 (31727) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $8.61 | — | -$8.61 | 54% 10628-9072 (19700) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19879-19038 (38917) |
Invested
$105.4
Value
$104.62
PnL
-$0.79
Record
51%
7108-6729 (13837)
Both legs:
Invested
$63.72
Value
$69.51
PnL
+$5.79
Record
61%
94254-59306 (153560)
Invested
$56.47
Value
—
PnL
-$56.47
Record
58%
37525-26772 (64297)
ohioism<$100Invested
$45.18
Value
$43.52
PnL
-$1.66
Record
64%
39822-22752 (62574)
Invested
$39.97
Value
$37.81
PnL
-$2.16
Record
52%
89700-84165 (173865)
Invested
$32.91
Value
$30.73
PnL
-$2.18
Record
66%
124974-64321 (189295)
Invested
$47.55
Value
$28.18
PnL
-$4.35
Record
65%
22230-12205 (34435)
Invested
$35.33
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$14.85
Record
56%
57718-44587 (102305)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$19.48
Value
$42.63
PnL
+$23.15
Record
49%
77753-81199 (158952)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$9.11
Value
—
PnL
-$9.11
Record
62%
43648-26624 (70272)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$22.39
Value
—
PnL
-$22.39
Record
55%
44381-36870 (81251)
Invested
$13.62
Value
$15.48
PnL
+$1.86
Record
55%
17546-14181 (31727)
Invested
$8.61
Value
—
PnL
-$8.61
Record
54%
10628-9072 (19700)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19879-19038 (38917)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asidjasiodja
Up — $69.51
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $43.52
dvasdkasodk
Up — $37.81
asdaefef
Up — $30.73
aaa221
Up — $28.18
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $50.18
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $42.63
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0