Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 67%
$399.56
$67.61
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $91.78 | $167.28 | +$75.5 | 51% 7108-6729 (13837) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $110.36 | $111.47 | +$1.11 | 93% 22867-1744 (24611) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 69.9¢ | $48.42 | $69.31 | +$20.89 | 55% 44381-36870 (81251) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 57.5¢ | $20.55 | $22.23 | +$1.68 | 54% 10628-9072 (19700) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $24.07 | $20 | -$4.07 | 65% 22230-12205 (34435) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $25.9 | — | -$25.9 | 55% 17546-14181 (31727) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 49% 77753-81199 (158952) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $7.23 | $9.27 | +$2.04 | 63% 51474-30294 (81768) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 66% 111786-58127 (169913) |
Invested
$91.78
Value
$167.28
PnL
+$75.5
Record
51%
7108-6729 (13837)
Invested
$110.36
Value
$111.47
PnL
+$1.11
Record
93%
22867-1744 (24611)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$48.42
Value
$69.31
PnL
+$20.89
Record
55%
44381-36870 (81251)
Invested
$20.55
Value
$22.23
PnL
+$1.68
Record
54%
10628-9072 (19700)
Invested
$24.07
Value
$20
PnL
-$4.07
Record
65%
22230-12205 (34435)
Invested
$25.9
Value
—
PnL
-$25.9
Record
55%
17546-14181 (31727)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
49%
77753-81199 (158952)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$7.23
Value
$9.27
PnL
+$2.04
Record
63%
51474-30294 (81768)
Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
66%
111786-58127 (169913)
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