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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$184.43

Combined PnL

-$12.85

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares381
Combined PnL-$48.35
Down5 traders
Total Value$104.43
Total Shares104
Combined PnL+$35.5
Up — 50%Down — 50%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$62.69

Value

$80

PnL

+$17.31

Record

51%

7108-6729 (13837)

Both legs:

Up$29.4927.9¢-$29.49
Down$33.241.5¢+$46.8
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$14.13

Value

—

PnL

-$14.13

Record

49%

77753-81199 (158952)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.62

Value

—

PnL

-$3.62

Record

46%

37988-44761 (82749)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$24.66

Value

$37.23

PnL

+$12.57

Record

55%

44381-36870 (81251)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$18.39

Value

—

PnL

-$18.39

Record

54%

10628-9072 (19700)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$16.35

Value

$24.72

PnL

+$8.37

Record

61%

94254-59306 (153560)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$14.27

Value

$22.15

PnL

+$7.88

Record

55%

17546-14181 (31727)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$12.22

Value

—

PnL

-$12.22

Record

65%

22230-12205 (34435)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$7.25

Value

$10.27

PnL

+$3.02

Record

66%

124974-64321 (189295)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$6.4

Value

$10.05

PnL

+$3.65

Record

52%

89700-84165 (173865)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19879-19038 (38917)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x2ddcdb71...46268c
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793254500

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$17.31

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$14.13

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.62

MayorMamdani

Down — $37.23

+$12.57
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Up — $0

-$18.39
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $24.72

+$8.37
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $22.15

+$7.88
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$12.22
AS

asdaefef

Down — $10.27

+$3.02
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $10.05

+$3.65
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