Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 60%
$82.17
-$54.59
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.5Β’ | $64.28 | β | -$64.28 | 34% 18620-35608 (54228) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73.5Β’ | $25.18 | $33.88 | +$8.7 | 51% 7108-6729 (13837) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $2.64 | β | -$2.64 | 46% 37988-44761 (82749) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 77.8Β’ | $13.1 | $16.83 | +$3.73 | 55% 17546-14181 (31727) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 81.5Β’ | $9.29 | $11.41 | +$2.12 | 61% 94254-59306 (153560) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $9.73 | $8.16 | -$1.57 | 54% 10628-9072 (19700) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $1.5 | β | -$1.5 | 49% 77753-81199 (158952) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $6.27 | $6.67 | +$0.4 | 65% 22230-12205 (34435) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $4.65 | $5.22 | +$0.57 | 66% 124974-64321 (189295) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $0.12 | β | -$0.12 | 55% 44381-36870 (81251) |
Invested
$64.28
Value
β
PnL
-$64.28
Record
34%
18620-35608 (54228)
Invested
$25.18
Value
$33.88
PnL
+$8.7
Record
51%
7108-6729 (13837)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.64
Value
β
PnL
-$2.64
Record
46%
37988-44761 (82749)
Invested
$13.1
Value
$16.83
PnL
+$3.73
Record
55%
17546-14181 (31727)
Invested
$9.29
Value
$11.41
PnL
+$2.12
Record
61%
94254-59306 (153560)
Invested
$9.73
Value
$8.16
PnL
-$1.57
Record
54%
10628-9072 (19700)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
β
PnL
-$1.5
Record
49%
77753-81199 (158952)
Invested
$6.27
Value
$6.67
PnL
+$0.4
Record
65%
22230-12205 (34435)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5.22
PnL
+$0.57
Record
66%
124974-64321 (189295)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
β
PnL
-$0.12
Record
55%
44381-36870 (81251)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Little-big
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $33.88

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $16.83
asidjasiodja
Down β $11.41
thesidehustle
Down β $8.16

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $6.67
asdaefef
Down β $5.22

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0