Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 59%
1 arb excluded
$774.12
-$40.54
Smart Money Signal
10 of 17 top traders (59%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $211.52 | $197.58 | -$13.94 | 51% 7108-6729 (13837) |
 OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Downavg 15.4¢ | $24.76 | $95.47 | +$70.71 | 49% 77753-81199 (158952) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 4.5¢ | $10.08 | — | -$10.08 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 15.4¢ | $14.68 | $95.47 | +$80.79 | |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 6.7¢ | $5.49 | $42.75 | +$37.26 | 46% 37988-44761 (82749) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $203.89 | $208 | +$4.11 | 93% 22867-1744 (24611) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 51% 19879-19038 (38917) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 83.9¢ | $53.82 | $48.31 | -$5.51 | 54% 10628-9072 (19700) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89.2¢ | $67.92 | $36.61 | -$28.51 | 65% 22230-12205 (34435) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 78.1¢ | $52.23 | $40.36 | -$11.87 | 61% 94254-59306 (153560) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $44.09 | $44.99 | +$0.9 | 55% 44381-36870 (81251) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.3¢ | $2.06 | — | -$2.06 | 63% 51474-30294 (81768) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 64.7¢ | $24.27 | $23 | -$1.27 | 66% 124974-64321 (189295) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 62% 43648-26624 (70272) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $12.79 | $25.08 | +$12.29 | 64% 39822-22752 (62574) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $12.7 | — | -$12.7 | 55% 17546-14181 (31727) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 78.4¢ | $14.97 | $11.97 | -$3 | 52% 89700-84165 (173865) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 58% 60246-43973 (104219) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 34% 18620-35608 (54228) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $3.55 | — | -$3.55 | 56% 57718-44587 (102305) |
Invested
$211.52
Value
$197.58
PnL
-$13.94
Record
51%
7108-6729 (13837)
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$24.76
Value
$95.47
PnL
+$70.71
Record
49%
77753-81199 (158952)
Both legs:
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$5.49
Value
$42.75
PnL
+$37.26
Record
46%
37988-44761 (82749)
Invested
$203.89
Value
$208
PnL
+$4.11
Record
93%
22867-1744 (24611)
Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
51%
19879-19038 (38917)
Invested
$53.82
Value
$48.31
PnL
-$5.51
Record
54%
10628-9072 (19700)
Invested
$67.92
Value
$36.61
PnL
-$28.51
Record
65%
22230-12205 (34435)
Invested
$52.23
Value
$40.36
PnL
-$11.87
Record
61%
94254-59306 (153560)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$44.09
Value
$44.99
PnL
+$0.9
Record
55%
44381-36870 (81251)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.06
Value
—
PnL
-$2.06
Record
63%
51474-30294 (81768)
Invested
$24.27
Value
$23
PnL
-$1.27
Record
66%
124974-64321 (189295)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
62%
43648-26624 (70272)
ohioism<$100Invested
$12.79
Value
$25.08
PnL
+$12.29
Record
64%
39822-22752 (62574)
Invested
$12.7
Value
—
PnL
-$12.7
Record
55%
17546-14181 (31727)
Invested
$14.97
Value
$11.97
PnL
-$3
Record
52%
89700-84165 (173865)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
58%
60246-43973 (104219)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
34%
18620-35608 (54228)
Invested
$3.55
Value
—
PnL
-$3.55
Record
56%
57718-44587 (102305)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $197.58
OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
Down — $42.75
hoodquant
Down — $208
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
Down — $48.31
aaa221
Down — $36.61
asidjasiodja
Down — $40.36
MayorMamdani
Down — $44.99
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0