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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Down β€” but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$120.17

Combined PnL

-$54.35

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares328
Combined PnL-$59.87
Up3 traders
Total Value$40.77
Total Shares41
Combined PnL+$5.52
Down β€” 63%Up β€” 37%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x51a63694...d528c8
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793252700
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