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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$353.26

Combined PnL

-$55.22

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$167.45
Total Shares167
Combined PnL+$33.46
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares111
Combined PnL-$88.68
Up — 50%Down — 50%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$207.23

Value

$185.81

PnL

-$21.42

Record

51%

7062-6703 (13765)

Both legs:

Down$101.2851.7¢-$101.28
Up$105.9457¢+$79.87
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$99

Value

$100

PnL

+$1

Record

93%

22826-1744 (24570)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$39.6

Value

—

PnL

-$39.6

Record

55%

17500-14140 (31640)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$20.54

Value

—

PnL

-$20.54

Record

54%

10578-9036 (19614)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$18.84

Value

$30.88

PnL

+$12.04

Record

49%

77653-81002 (158655)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$16.3

Value

—

PnL

-$16.3

Record

55%

44344-36830 (81174)

YO
YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.44

Value

—

PnL

-$11.44

Record

53%

3687-3206 (6893)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$17.06

Value

$24.03

PnL

+$13.4

Record

65%

22160-12167 (34327)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$3.12

Value

$7.09

PnL

+$3.97

Record

66%

124908-64287 (189195)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$2.4

Value

$5.45

PnL

+$3.05

Record

61%

94214-59259 (153473)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.8

Value

—

PnL

-$0.8

Record

58%

60229-43960 (104189)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xe66b6314...eed4db
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793252400

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$21.42
HO

hoodquant

Up — $100

+$1
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$39.6
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Down — $0

-$20.54

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $30.88

+$12.04

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$16.3
YO

YouSayUpISayDown

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.44
AA

aaa221

Up — $24.03

+$13.4
AS

asdaefef

Up — $7.09

+$3.97
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5.45

+$3.05
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