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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 58%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$663.51

Combined PnL

-$21.91

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$262.83

Total Shares263

Combined PnL+$29.96

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares107

Combined PnL-$51.88

Up — 62%Down — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 61¢	$366.31	$400.67	+$34.36	51% 7002-6680 (13682)
└ Down leg	Downavg 35.9¢	$121.81	—	-$121.81
└ Up leg	Upavg 61¢	$244.5	$400.67	+$156.17
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 58.8¢	$104.05	$93.25	-$10.8	54% 10578-9036 (19614)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 44.4¢	$33.09	$62.89	+$29.8	55% 44309-36802 (81111)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 80¢	$40.06	$50.08	+$10.02	58% 60218-43959 (104177)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$21.29	—	-$21.29	49% 77653-81002 (158655)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 52.8¢	$22.28	—	-$22.28	57% 70079-53264 (123343)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 72.6¢	$31.92	$26.16	-$5.76	65% 22059-12128 (34187)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 79.3¢	$16	$20.19	+$4.19	65% 124499-66595 (191094)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 43¢	$4.8	—	-$4.8	63% 51408-30257 (81665)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	64% 57804-32541 (90345)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 74¢	$3.85	$5.2	+$1.35	55% 17472-14100 (31572)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 77¢	$3.9	$5.06	+$1.16	66% 124869-64274 (189143)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 34¢	$2.16	—	-$2.16	61% 94187-59243 (153430)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19870-19016 (38886)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$366.31

Value

$400.67

PnL

+$34.36

Record

51%

7002-6680 (13682)

Both legs:

Down$121.8135.9¢-$121.81

Up$244.561¢+$156.17

Invested

$104.05

Value

$93.25

PnL

-$10.8

Record

54%

10578-9036 (19614)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$33.09

Value

$62.89

PnL

+$29.8

Record

55%

44309-36802 (81111)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$40.06

Value

$50.08

PnL

+$10.02

Record

58%

60218-43959 (104177)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$21.29

Value

—

PnL

-$21.29

Record

49%

77653-81002 (158655)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$22.28

Value

—

PnL

-$22.28

Record

57%

70079-53264 (123343)

Invested

$31.92

Value

$26.16

PnL

-$5.76

Record

65%

22059-12128 (34187)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$16

Value

$20.19

PnL

+$4.19

Record

65%

124499-66595 (191094)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

—

PnL

-$4.8

Record

63%

51408-30257 (81665)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

64%

57804-32541 (90345)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

$5.2

PnL

+$1.35

Record

55%

17472-14100 (31572)

Invested

$3.9

Value

$5.06

PnL

+$1.16

Record

66%

124869-64274 (189143)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$2.16

Value

—

PnL

-$2.16

Record

61%

94187-59243 (153430)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19870-19016 (38886)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb87b4925...b9e17b

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793247900

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

thesidehustle

Up — $93.25

MayorMamdani

Up — $62.89

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $50.08

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $26.16

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20.19

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $0

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $0

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