Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Up 50%
$324.11
-$107.29
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 81Β’ | $171.22 | $141.57 | -$29.65 | 51% 7002-6680 (13682) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $60.39 | $61 | +$0.61 | 93% 22818-1742 (24560) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $52.73 | $46.1 | -$6.63 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.6Β’ | $45.36 | β | -$45.36 | 64% 57804-32541 (90345) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | $27.45 | $36.44 | +$8.99 | 55% 17472-14100 (31572) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $20.03 | $22 | +$1.97 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.5Β’ | $11.9 | β | -$11.9 | 54% 10578-9036 (19614) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $9.3 | $10 | +$0.7 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $5.6 | $7 | +$1.4 | 52% 89634-84083 (173717) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 68Β’ | $3.06 | β | -$3.06 | 64% 39791-22743 (62534) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6Β’ | $5.24 | β | -$5.24 | 46% 37968-44693 (82661) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 12Β’ | $9.6 | β | -$9.6 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.1Β’ | $8.83 | β | -$8.83 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4Β’ | $0.69 | β | -$0.69 | 59% 62048-43126 (105174) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19870-19016 (38886) |
Invested
$171.22
Value
$141.57
PnL
-$29.65
Record
51%
7002-6680 (13682)
Invested
$60.39
Value
$61
PnL
+$0.61
Record
93%
22818-1742 (24560)
Invested
$52.73
Value
$46.1
PnL
-$6.63
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$45.36
Value
β
PnL
-$45.36
Record
64%
57804-32541 (90345)
Invested
$27.45
Value
$36.44
PnL
+$8.99
Record
55%
17472-14100 (31572)
Invested
$20.03
Value
$22
PnL
+$1.97
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
Invested
$11.9
Value
β
PnL
-$11.9
Record
54%
10578-9036 (19614)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.7
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$7
PnL
+$1.4
Record
52%
89634-84083 (173717)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
β
PnL
-$3.06
Record
64%
39791-22743 (62534)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.24
Value
β
PnL
-$5.24
Record
46%
37968-44693 (82661)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$9.6
Value
β
PnL
-$9.6
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$8.83
Value
β
PnL
-$8.83
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
Invested
$0.69
Value
β
PnL
-$0.69
Record
59%
62048-43126 (105174)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19870-19016 (38886)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up β $141.57
hoodquant
Up β $61
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $46.1

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $36.44
asidjasiodja
Up β $22
thesidehustle
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $10
dvasdkasodk
Up β $7

ohioism
CTRDown β $0