Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 54%
5 arb excluded
$1.6K
$167.62
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 47.9¢ | $712.44 | $966.72 | +$254.28 | 51% 7002-6680 (13682) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 21.2¢ | $110.02 | $82 | -$28.02 | 57% 70079-53264 (123343) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.2¢ | $65.6 | — | -$65.6 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 54.2¢ | $44.42 | $82 | +$37.58 | |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Upavg 59.3¢ | $107.94 | $136.59 | +$28.65 | 64% 57804-32541 (90345) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59.3¢ | $80.99 | $136.59 | +$55.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 22.5¢ | $26.95 | — | -$26.95 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.3¢ | $32.46 | — | -$32.46 | 46% 37968-44693 (82661) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100 | Upavg 58.3¢ | $75.75 | $91.6 | +$15.85 | 55% 17472-14100 (31572) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 58.3¢ | $53.4 | $91.6 | +$38.2 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36.3¢ | $22.35 | — | -$22.35 | |
TH thesidehustleARB<$100 | Upavg 57.1¢ | $64.7 | $79.99 | +$15.3 | 54% 10578-9036 (19614) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 57.1¢ | $45.7 | $79.99 | +$34.3 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31.7¢ | $19 | — | -$19 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $49.58 | $50.08 | +$0.5 | 58% 60218-43959 (104177) |
 MayorMamdaniARB<$100 | Downavg 22.6¢ | $29.54 | $34 | +$4.46 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 22.6¢ | $15.6 | — | -$15.6 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41¢ | $13.94 | $34 | +$20.06 | |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.5¢ | $17.05 | — | -$17.05 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $35.64 | $36 | +$0.36 | 93% 22818-1742 (24560) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $37.87 | $44.05 | +$8.26 | 65% 22059-12128 (34187) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89.7¢ | $28.49 | $19.69 | -$8.8 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $12.55 | — | -$12.55 | 64% 39791-22743 (62534) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.2¢ | $19.06 | — | -$19.06 | 58% 37494-26736 (64230) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $14.87 | $12 | -$2.87 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 75.4¢ | $10.67 | $11.11 | +$0.44 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 52% 89634-84083 (173717) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $1.73 | — | -$1.73 | 74% 102231-36345 (138576) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19870-19016 (38886) |
Invested
$712.44
Value
$966.72
PnL
+$254.28
Record
51%
7002-6680 (13682)
Invested
$110.02
Value
$82
PnL
-$28.02
Record
57%
70079-53264 (123343)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$107.94
Value
$136.59
PnL
+$28.65
Record
64%
57804-32541 (90345)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$32.46
Value
—
PnL
-$32.46
Record
46%
37968-44693 (82661)
Invested
$75.75
Value
$91.6
PnL
+$15.85
Record
55%
17472-14100 (31572)
Both legs:
Invested
$64.7
Value
$79.99
PnL
+$15.3
Record
54%
10578-9036 (19614)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.58
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$0.5
Record
58%
60218-43959 (104177)
MayorMamdaniARB<$100Invested
$29.54
Value
$34
PnL
+$4.46
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$17.05
Value
—
PnL
-$17.05
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
Invested
$35.64
Value
$36
PnL
+$0.36
Record
93%
22818-1742 (24560)
Invested
$37.87
Value
$44.05
PnL
+$8.26
Record
65%
22059-12128 (34187)
Invested
$28.49
Value
$19.69
PnL
-$8.8
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$12.55
Value
—
PnL
-$12.55
Record
64%
39791-22743 (62534)
Invested
$19.06
Value
—
PnL
-$19.06
Record
58%
37494-26736 (64230)
Invested
$14.87
Value
$12
PnL
-$2.87
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
Invested
$10.67
Value
$11.11
PnL
+$0.44
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
52%
89634-84083 (173717)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
74%
102231-36345 (138576)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19870-19016 (38886)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up — $966.72
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thesidehustle
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $50.08
MayorMamdani
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $36