Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 62%
$365.04
$13.61
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $224.35 | $224.57 | +$0.22 | 59% 62048-43126 (105174) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.7¢ | $45.38 | $46 | +$0.62 | 93% 22818-1742 (24560) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79.5¢ | $28.66 | $31.38 | +$2.72 | 51% 7002-6680 (13682) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $12.25 | $25 | +$12.75 | 34% 18599-35593 (54192) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $16 | $20 | +$4 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $6.79 | $7.15 | +$0.36 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $5.71 | $5.95 | +$0.24 | 57% 70079-53264 (123343) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 55% 17472-14100 (31572) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $3.03 | — | -$3.03 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.4¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.01 | — | -$1.01 | 46% 37968-44693 (82661) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 48% 23122-25284 (48406) |
Invested
$224.35
Value
$224.57
PnL
+$0.22
Record
59%
62048-43126 (105174)
Invested
$45.38
Value
$46
PnL
+$0.62
Record
93%
22818-1742 (24560)
Invested
$28.66
Value
$31.38
PnL
+$2.72
Record
51%
7002-6680 (13682)
Invested
$12.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$12.75
Record
34%
18599-35593 (54192)
Invested
$16
Value
$20
PnL
+$4
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
Invested
$6.79
Value
$7.15
PnL
+$0.36
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
Invested
$5.71
Value
$5.95
PnL
+$0.24
Record
57%
70079-53264 (123343)
Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
55%
17472-14100 (31572)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.03
Value
—
PnL
-$3.03
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.01
Value
—
PnL
-$1.01
Record
46%
37968-44693 (82661)
Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
48%
23122-25284 (48406)
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