Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 57%
$233.39
-$81.99
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 68.5¢ | $77.85 | $97.92 | +$20.06 | 51% 7002-6680 (13682) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 65.1¢ | $51.96 | $55.4 | +$3.44 | 54% 10578-9036 (19614) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $56.35 | — | -$56.35 | 55% 17472-14100 (31572) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $25.82 | $26 | +$2.64 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.1¢ | $16.05 | — | -$16.05 | 56% 57694-44567 (102261) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $18.45 | $18 | -$0.45 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $16.91 | $19.07 | +$2.16 | 65% 22059-12128 (34187) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $27.4 | — | -$27.4 | 57% 70079-53264 (123343) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.9¢ | $7.04 | — | -$7.04 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $5.4 | $6.75 | +$1.35 | 64% 39791-22743 (62534) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4.2 | $5.25 | +$1.05 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $2.66 | — | -$2.66 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.5¢ | $5.35 | — | -$5.35 | 63% 51408-30257 (81665) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.4 | $5 | +$2.6 | 64% 57804-32541 (90345) |
Invested
$77.85
Value
$97.92
PnL
+$20.06
Record
51%
7002-6680 (13682)
Invested
$51.96
Value
$55.4
PnL
+$3.44
Record
54%
10578-9036 (19614)
Invested
$56.35
Value
—
PnL
-$56.35
Record
55%
17472-14100 (31572)
Invested
$25.82
Value
$26
PnL
+$2.64
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
Invested
$16.05
Value
—
PnL
-$16.05
Record
56%
57694-44567 (102261)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$18.45
Value
$18
PnL
-$0.45
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
Invested
$16.91
Value
$19.07
PnL
+$2.16
Record
65%
22059-12128 (34187)
Invested
$27.4
Value
—
PnL
-$27.4
Record
57%
70079-53264 (123343)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.04
Value
—
PnL
-$7.04
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$6.75
PnL
+$1.35
Record
64%
39791-22743 (62534)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$1.05
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
Invested
$2.66
Value
—
PnL
-$2.66
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$5.35
Value
—
PnL
-$5.35
Record
63%
51408-30257 (81665)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.6
Record
64%
57804-32541 (90345)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $97.92
thesidehustle
Down — $55.4
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $26
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $18
aaa221
Down — $19.07
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $6.75