Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 60%
1 arb excluded
$1.4K
-$6.03
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$1.18 | 59% 62031-43103 (105134) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $187.09 | $165.12 | -$21.97 | 51% 6965-6645 (13610) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 67¢ | $110.62 | $165.12 | +$54.5 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.1¢ | $76.47 | — | -$76.47 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90.1¢ | $29.85 | $33.14 | +$3.29 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 82.8¢ | $17.34 | $20.93 | +$3.59 | 61% 94136-59204 (153340) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $10.66 | $18.46 | +$7.8 | 58% 37465-26708 (64173) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $9.96 | $13.14 | +$3.18 | 66% 124813-64240 (189053) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $7.2 | $8.18 | +$0.98 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $9.15 | — | -$7.2 | 65% 124444-66560 (191004) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 9.8¢ | $16.7 | — | -$16.7 | 46% 37948-44658 (82606) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19858-18996 (38854) |
Invested
$1,180.56
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$1.18
Record
59%
62031-43103 (105134)
Invested
$187.09
Value
$165.12
PnL
-$21.97
Record
51%
6965-6645 (13610)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.85
Value
$33.14
PnL
+$3.29
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
Invested
$17.34
Value
$20.93
PnL
+$3.59
Record
61%
94136-59204 (153340)
Invested
$10.66
Value
$18.46
PnL
+$7.8
Record
58%
37465-26708 (64173)
Invested
$9.96
Value
$13.14
PnL
+$3.18
Record
66%
124813-64240 (189053)
Invested
$7.2
Value
$8.18
PnL
+$0.98
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
Invested
$9.15
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
65%
124444-66560 (191004)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$16.7
Value
—
PnL
-$16.7
Record
46%
37948-44658 (82606)
Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19858-18996 (38854)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $1.2K
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Down — $33.14
asidjasiodja
Down — $20.93
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $18.46
asdaefef
Down — $13.14
dvasdkasodk
Down — $8.18
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0