Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 78%
$219.3
$24.78
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $84.15 | $85 | +$0.85 | 93% 22775-1740 (24515) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $68.82 | $72.18 | +$3.37 | 51% 6965-6645 (13610) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $16.91 | $31.91 | +$15 | 58% 37465-26708 (64173) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $6.09 | $10 | +$3.91 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.5¢ | $4.05 | — | -$4.05 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $5.9 | $10 | +$4.1 | 64% 57769-32502 (90271) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $3.8 | $5.2 | +$1.4 | 61% 94136-59204 (153340) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $4.2 | $5 | +$0.8 | 66% 124813-64240 (189053) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 46% 37948-44658 (82606) |
Invested
$84.15
Value
$85
PnL
+$0.85
Record
93%
22775-1740 (24515)
Invested
$68.82
Value
$72.18
PnL
+$3.37
Record
51%
6965-6645 (13610)
Invested
$16.91
Value
$31.91
PnL
+$15
Record
58%
37465-26708 (64173)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.09
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.91
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
Invested
$4.05
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$5.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.1
Record
64%
57769-32502 (90271)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5.2
PnL
+$1.4
Record
61%
94136-59204 (153340)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.8
Record
66%
124813-64240 (189053)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
46%
37948-44658 (82606)
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