Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 100%
$470.17
$26.65
Smart Money Signal
12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 68.3Β’ | $241.52 | $212.53 | -$28.99 | 51% 6965-6645 (13610) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 66.3Β’ | $33.25 | $50.18 | +$16.93 | 58% 60194-43949 (104143) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $33.03 | $47.18 | +$14.15 | 74% 102203-36340 (138543) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 71.7Β’ | $25.95 | $31.3 | +$5.35 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 79Β’ | $21.1 | $21 | -$0.1 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.5Β’ | $16.5 | $20 | +$3.5 | 65% 124444-66560 (191004) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $25.16 | $32.28 | +$7.12 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 75.1Β’ | $14.98 | $19.96 | +$4.98 | 61% 94136-59204 (153340) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 78.2Β’ | $11.59 | $9.25 | -$2.33 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 82.2Β’ | $9.45 | $11.5 | +$2.05 | 66% 124813-64240 (189053) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 63% 51357-30230 (81587) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $6.7 | $10 | +$3.3 | 64% 57769-32502 (90271) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19858-18996 (38854) |
Invested
$241.52
Value
$212.53
PnL
-$28.99
Record
51%
6965-6645 (13610)
Invested
$33.25
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$16.93
Record
58%
60194-43949 (104143)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$33.03
Value
$47.18
PnL
+$14.15
Record
74%
102203-36340 (138543)
Invested
$25.95
Value
$31.3
PnL
+$5.35
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$21.1
Value
$21
PnL
-$0.1
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.5
Record
65%
124444-66560 (191004)
Invested
$25.16
Value
$32.28
PnL
+$7.12
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
Invested
$14.98
Value
$19.96
PnL
+$4.98
Record
61%
94136-59204 (153340)
Invested
$11.59
Value
$9.25
PnL
-$2.33
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
Invested
$9.45
Value
$11.5
PnL
+$2.05
Record
66%
124813-64240 (189053)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
63%
51357-30230 (81587)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$6.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.3
Record
64%
57769-32502 (90271)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19858-18996 (38854)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $212.53
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $50.18

BoneOhio
Down β $47.18
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $31.3

MayorMamdani
Down β $21
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $20
aaa221
Down β $32.28
asidjasiodja
Down β $19.96
dvasdkasodk
Down β $9.25
asdaefef
Down β $11.5