Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Down 67%
$825.16
$50.49
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 39.4Β’ | $149.7 | $205.34 | +$55.64 | 51% 6935-6621 (13556) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 70.7Β’ | $106.41 | $150.55 | +$44.15 | 58% 60182-43943 (104125) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 70.5Β’ | $86.78 | $100.44 | +$13.66 | 62% 43621-26580 (70201) |
![]() BoneOhio | Downavg 67.5Β’ | $67.88 | $100.55 | +$32.67 | 74% 102194-36335 (138529) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.1Β’ | $78.05 | β | -$78.05 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 69.7Β’ | $62.66 | $89.86 | +$27.2 | 64% 39768-22729 (62497) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 76.7Β’ | $80.89 | $59.99 | +$9.77 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $39.12 | $41.99 | +$2.87 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 31Β’ | $47.24 | β | -$47.24 | 56% 57656-44547 (102203) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 52.9Β’ | $21.5 | $30.62 | +$9.12 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 72.3Β’ | $17.42 | $18.78 | +$1.36 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.6Β’ | $17.09 | β | -$17.09 | 61% 94094-59183 (153277) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 63.2Β’ | $15.39 | $13.28 | -$2.11 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $5 | $7.04 | +$2.04 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $4.31 | $6.73 | +$2.42 | 48% 23100-25234 (48334) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.6Β’ | $7 | β | -$4.9 | 51% 19852-18984 (38836) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $0.02 | β | -$0.02 | 46% 37937-44627 (82564) |
Invested
$149.7
Value
$205.34
PnL
+$55.64
Record
51%
6935-6621 (13556)
Invested
$106.41
Value
$150.55
PnL
+$44.15
Record
58%
60182-43943 (104125)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$86.78
Value
$100.44
PnL
+$13.66
Record
62%
43621-26580 (70201)
BoneOhioInvested
$67.88
Value
$100.55
PnL
+$32.67
Record
74%
102194-36335 (138529)
Invested
$78.05
Value
β
PnL
-$78.05
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
ohioism<$100Invested
$62.66
Value
$89.86
PnL
+$27.2
Record
64%
39768-22729 (62497)
Invested
$80.89
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$9.77
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$39.12
Value
$41.99
PnL
+$2.87
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
Invested
$47.24
Value
β
PnL
-$47.24
Record
56%
57656-44547 (102203)
Invested
$21.5
Value
$30.62
PnL
+$9.12
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
Invested
$17.42
Value
$18.78
PnL
+$1.36
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
Invested
$17.09
Value
β
PnL
-$17.09
Record
61%
94094-59183 (153277)
Invested
$15.39
Value
$13.28
PnL
-$2.11
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
Invested
$5
Value
$7.04
PnL
+$2.04
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$4.31
Value
$6.73
PnL
+$2.42
Record
48%
23100-25234 (48334)
Invested
$7
Value
β
PnL
-$4.9
Record
51%
19852-18984 (38836)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
β
PnL
-$0.02
Record
46%
37937-44627 (82564)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $205.34
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $150.55

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $100.44

BoneOhio
Down β $100.55
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
Down β $89.86
aaa221
Down β $59.99

MayorMamdani
Down β $41.99
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $30.62