Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$497.48
-$41.85
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 43.1¢ | $193.64 | $264.88 | +$71.24 | 51% 6935-6621 (13556) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 26.5¢ | $79.42 | — | -$79.42 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 43.1¢ | $114.22 | $264.88 | +$150.66 | |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 91.3¢ | $105.71 | $115.8 | +$10.09 | 74% 102194-36335 (138529) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $19.85 | $16 | -$3.85 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $26.4 | $25.66 | -$0.74 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $31.6 | $30 | -$1.6 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79.3¢ | $40.21 | $31.02 | -$5.89 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.8¢ | $35.85 | — | -$35.85 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $6.73 | — | -$6.73 | 58% 37445-26686 (64131) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $8.2 | $10.12 | +$1.92 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $1.76 | $4 | +$2.24 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 61% 94094-59183 (153277) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19852-18984 (38836) |
Invested
$193.64
Value
$264.88
PnL
+$71.24
Record
51%
6935-6621 (13556)
Both legs:
BoneOhioInvested
$105.71
Value
$115.8
PnL
+$10.09
Record
74%
102194-36335 (138529)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$19.85
Value
$16
PnL
-$3.85
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$26.4
Value
$25.66
PnL
-$0.74
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
Invested
$31.6
Value
$30
PnL
-$1.6
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
Invested
$40.21
Value
$31.02
PnL
-$5.89
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
Invested
$35.85
Value
—
PnL
-$35.85
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
Invested
$6.73
Value
—
PnL
-$6.73
Record
58%
37445-26686 (64131)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$10.12
PnL
+$1.92
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
Invested
$1.76
Value
$4
PnL
+$2.24
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
61%
94094-59183 (153277)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19852-18984 (38836)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BoneOhio
Up — $115.8
MayorMamdani
Up — $16
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $25.66
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $30
aaa221
Up — $31.02
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $10.12
dvasdkasodk
Up — $4