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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Down β€” but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$204.67

Combined PnL

-$19.19

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares301
Combined PnL-$13.09
Up6 traders
Total Value$109.92
Total Shares110
Combined PnL-$6.1
Down β€” 50%Up β€” 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x38002192...7238f3
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793228700
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