Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 53%
$311.89
-$52.21
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 89¢ | $185.61 | $162.83 | -$22.78 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $30.16 | — | -$30.16 | 48% 23092-25227 (48319) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $31.41 | $61.78 | +$30.37 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 96.3¢ | $19.81 | $19.25 | -$0.56 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $18 | $20 | +$2 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $18 | $20 | +$2 | 62% 43616-26566 (70182) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $8.84 | — | -$8.84 | 58% 50817-36958 (87775) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $13.18 | $14.81 | +$1.63 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $6.93 | $7.22 | +$0.29 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 51% 19837-18971 (38808) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.6¢ | $21.12 | — | -$21.12 | 59% 62012-43078 (105090) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $5.4 | $6 | +$0.6 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.3¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $4.25 | — | +$0.75 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
Invested
$185.61
Value
$162.83
PnL
-$22.78
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
Invested
$30.16
Value
—
PnL
-$30.16
Record
48%
23092-25227 (48319)
Invested
$31.41
Value
$61.78
PnL
+$30.37
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
Invested
$19.81
Value
$19.25
PnL
-$0.56
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Invested
$18
Value
$20
PnL
+$2
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$18
Value
$20
PnL
+$2
Record
62%
43616-26566 (70182)
Invested
$8.84
Value
—
PnL
-$8.84
Record
58%
50817-36958 (87775)
Invested
$13.18
Value
$14.81
PnL
+$1.63
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7.22
PnL
+$0.29
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
51%
19837-18971 (38808)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$21.12
Value
—
PnL
-$21.12
Record
59%
62012-43078 (105090)
Invested
$5.4
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.6
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$4.25
Value
—
PnL
+$0.75
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $162.83
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $61.78
asidjasiodja
Down — $19.25
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $20
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $14.81
asdaefef
Down — $7.22
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0