Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 86%
1 arb excluded
$248.5
$9.07
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 41.5¢ | $73.8 | $160 | +$86.2 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.5¢ | $66.4 | $160 | +$93.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 5.2¢ | $7.4 | — | -$7.4 | |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 48% 23092-25227 (48319) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $33.01 | $25 | -$3.01 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 93.9¢ | $19.01 | $20.24 | +$1.23 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 41.5¢ | $8.3 | $20 | +$11.7 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $9.2 | $10.11 | +$0.91 | 51% 19837-18971 (38808) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $6.86 | $7.07 | +$0.21 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $5.04 | $6.07 | +$1.03 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
Invested
$73.8
Value
$160
PnL
+$86.2
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
Both legs:
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
48%
23092-25227 (48319)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$33.01
Value
$25
PnL
-$3.01
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$19.01
Value
$20.24
PnL
+$1.23
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Invested
$8.3
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.7
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$10.11
PnL
+$0.91
Record
51%
19837-18971 (38808)
Invested
$6.86
Value
$7.07
PnL
+$0.21
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$5.04
Value
$6.07
PnL
+$1.03
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
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