Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 70%
$168.4
$9.03
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 94.7Β’ | $32.9 | $30 | -$2.9 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75.8Β’ | $39.4 | $52 | +$12.6 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.9Β’ | $21.66 | $23.07 | +$1.41 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $9.6 | β | -$9.6 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $17.2 | $20 | +$2.8 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.7Β’ | $11.06 | $12.33 | +$1.27 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 57.6Β’ | $12.1 | $21 | +$8.9 | 34% 18548-35564 (54112) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $10.23 | $10 | -$0.23 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.5Β’ | $3.97 | β | -$3.97 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.4Β’ | $1.25 | β | -$1.25 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
Invested
$32.9
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.9
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$39.4
Value
$52
PnL
+$12.6
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
Invested
$21.66
Value
$23.07
PnL
+$1.41
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Invested
$9.6
Value
β
PnL
-$9.6
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
Invested
$17.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.8
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$11.06
Value
$12.33
PnL
+$1.27
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$12.1
Value
$21
PnL
+$8.9
Record
34%
18548-35564 (54112)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$10.23
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.23
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.97
Value
β
PnL
-$3.97
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
β
PnL
-$1.25
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
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