Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
16
Down 56%
$341.65
-$89.32
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $94.05 | $95 | +$0.95 | 93% 22702-1736 (24438) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 54.3¢ | $49.52 | $54.3 | +$14.01 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 29.7¢ | $20.91 | $65.64 | +$44.73 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 18.2¢ | $10.68 | $40.56 | +$29.88 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 43.5¢ | $24.33 | $55.88 | +$31.55 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 42.2¢ | $69.04 | — | -$69.04 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $36.01 | — | -$36.01 | 64% 39757-22720 (62477) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.7¢ | $36.72 | — | -$36.72 | 62% 43616-26566 (70182) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.4¢ | $32.05 | — | -$32.05 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 73.5¢ | $16.8 | — | -$16.8 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $12.89 | — | -$12.89 | 74% 102188-36332 (138520) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $7.8 | $10.26 | +$2.46 | 51% 19837-18971 (38808) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $2.38 | — | -$2.38 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 56.8¢ | $13.59 | — | -$13.59 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 32.5¢ | $6.5 | $20 | +$13.5 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $6.9 | — | -$6.9 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
Invested
$94.05
Value
$95
PnL
+$0.95
Record
93%
22702-1736 (24438)
Invested
$49.52
Value
$54.3
PnL
+$14.01
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$20.91
Value
$65.64
PnL
+$44.73
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$10.68
Value
$40.56
PnL
+$29.88
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$24.33
Value
$55.88
PnL
+$31.55
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
Invested
$69.04
Value
—
PnL
-$69.04
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$36.01
Value
—
PnL
-$36.01
Record
64%
39757-22720 (62477)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$36.72
Value
—
PnL
-$36.72
Record
62%
43616-26566 (70182)
Invested
$32.05
Value
—
PnL
-$32.05
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$16.8
Value
—
PnL
-$16.8
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$12.89
Value
—
PnL
-$12.89
Record
74%
102188-36332 (138520)
Invested
$7.8
Value
$10.26
PnL
+$2.46
Record
51%
19837-18971 (38808)
Invested
$2.38
Value
—
PnL
-$2.38
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$13.59
Value
—
PnL
-$13.59
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$6.5
Value
$20
PnL
+$13.5
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
Invested
$6.9
Value
—
PnL
-$6.9
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $95
aaa221
Up — $54.3
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $65.64
MayorMamdani
Up — $40.56
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $55.88
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
thesidehustle
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
CTRDown — $0