Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 55%
$302.69
-$8.91
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 92.6Β’ | $146.16 | $122 | -$24.16 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 38.2Β’ | $34.4 | $90 | +$55.6 | 34% 18548-35564 (54112) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 88.3Β’ | $58 | $40 | -$18 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 76.3Β’ | $20.59 | $27 | +$6.41 | 58% 60164-43933 (104097) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $19.2 | $20.21 | +$1.01 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.4Β’ | $13.65 | β | -$13.65 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $4.03 | β | -$4.03 | 59% 62012-43078 (105090) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.6Β’ | $8.2 | β | -$8.2 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $3.13 | $3.48 | +$0.35 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $4.2 | β | -$4.2 | 51% 19837-18971 (38808) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
Invested
$146.16
Value
$122
PnL
-$24.16
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
Invested
$34.4
Value
$90
PnL
+$55.6
Record
34%
18548-35564 (54112)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$58
Value
$40
PnL
-$18
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$20.59
Value
$27
PnL
+$6.41
Record
58%
60164-43933 (104097)
Invested
$19.2
Value
$20.21
PnL
+$1.01
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.65
Value
β
PnL
-$13.65
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$4.03
Value
β
PnL
-$4.03
Record
59%
62012-43078 (105090)
Invested
$8.2
Value
β
PnL
-$8.2
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$3.13
Value
$3.48
PnL
+$0.35
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$4.2
Value
β
PnL
-$4.2
Record
51%
19837-18971 (38808)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $122
Little-big
Down β $90

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $40
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $27
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $20.21

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0
thesidehustle
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $3.48
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0