Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 67%
$56.21
-$20.88
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $39.56 | $45.21 | +$5.65 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $5.58 | $6 | +$0.42 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.9¢ | $6.59 | — | -$6.59 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.5¢ | $16.48 | — | -$16.48 | 48% 23092-25227 (48319) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.9¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $18.23 | — | +$1.57 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
Invested
$39.56
Value
$45.21
PnL
+$5.65
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
Invested
$5.58
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.42
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.59
Value
—
PnL
-$6.59
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$16.48
Value
—
PnL
-$16.48
Record
48%
23092-25227 (48319)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$18.23
Value
—
PnL
+$1.57
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
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