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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 56%

Total Value

$129.65

Combined PnL

$5.94

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$129.65
Total Shares130
Combined PnL+$33.98
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares382
Combined PnL-$28.04
Up — 50%Down — 50%
PL
ply-pm2
Up

Invested

$74.2

Value

$100

PnL

+$25.8

Record

51%

6891-6570 (13461)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$16.34

Value

—

PnL

-$16.34

Record

58%

37406-26644 (64050)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.31

Value

—

PnL

-$4.31

Record

59%

62001-43068 (105069)

TH
thesidehustle<$100
Up

Invested

$4.32

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.68

Record

54%

10483-8946 (19429)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$11.81

Value

$13.37

PnL

+$1.56

Record

61%

94030-59124 (153154)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.72

Value

—

PnL

-$5.72

Record

55%

44184-36684 (80868)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$5.34

Value

$6.28

PnL

+$0.94

Record

66%

124678-64187 (188865)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.4

Value

—

PnL

-$0.4

Record

46%

37909-44573 (82482)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

52%

89477-83931 (173408)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19816-18956 (38772)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xe319101b...1d0f0e
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793222100

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Up — $100

+$25.8
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$16.34
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.31
TH

thesidehustle

Up — $10

+$5.68
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $13.37

+$1.56

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.72
AS

asdaefef

Up — $6.28

+$0.94

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.4
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.26
DE

devonpoll

Up — $0

+$0
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