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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Down β€” but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$330.28

Combined PnL

$34.67

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 13 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares126
Combined PnL-$12.3
Up7 traders
Total Value$158.23
Total Shares158
Combined PnL+$46.97
Down β€” 46%Up β€” 54%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xa0f091e2...9303f9
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793221800
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