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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$461.31

Combined PnL

$17.73

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$172.85
Total Shares173
Combined PnL+$57.18
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares72
Combined PnL-$39.45
Up — 60%Down — 40%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$322.39

Value

$288.45

PnL

-$33.94

Record

51%

6891-6570 (13461)

Both legs:

Down$116.1255.3¢-$116.12
Up$206.2771.5¢+$82.18
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$53.25

Value

$92.37

PnL

+$39.12

Record

55%

17349-13981 (31330)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$15.69

Value

—

PnL

-$15.69

Record

54%

10483-8946 (19429)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.31

Value

—

PnL

-$11.31

Record

58%

37406-26644 (64050)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$17.6

Value

$32.6

PnL

+$15

Record

58%

60145-43906 (104051)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.4

Value

—

PnL

-$12.4

Record

65%

21845-12018 (33863)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$14.1

Value

$10

PnL

-$4.1

Record

66%

124678-64187 (188865)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$17.42

Value

$20.84

PnL

+$3.42

Record

61%

94030-59124 (153154)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$6.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.6

Record

55%

44184-36684 (80868)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$6.9

Value

$7.04

PnL

+$0.14

Record

93%

22666-1735 (24401)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

59%

62001-43068 (105069)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x6b6eb7e9...c6cf54
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793221200

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$33.94
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $92.37

+$39.12
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Down — $0

-$15.69
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.31
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $32.6

+$15
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$12.4
AS

asdaefef

Up — $10

-$4.1
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $20.84

+$3.42

MayorMamdani

Up — $10

+$3.6
HO

hoodquant

Up — $7.04

+$0.14
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