Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$403.39
$13.43
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98Β’ | $259.34 | $264.64 | +$5.29 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 70.9Β’ | $91.36 | $93.2 | +$1.84 | 51% 6891-6570 (13461) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 70.9Β’ | $66.09 | $93.2 | +$27.11 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 9.2Β’ | $25.27 | β | -$25.27 | |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.8Β’ | $6.93 | β | -$6.93 | 46% 37909-44573 (82482) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.9Β’ | $4.88 | β | -$4.88 | 55% 44184-36684 (80868) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 58.6Β’ | $16.09 | $27.45 | +$11.36 | 55% 17349-13981 (31330) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.5Β’ | $10.99 | $12.57 | +$1.58 | 66% 124678-64187 (188865) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $2.93 | $5.53 | +$2.6 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $2.05 | β | -$2.05 | 61% 94030-59124 (153154) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 10Β’ | $0.11 | β | -$0.11 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.5Β’ | $22.34 | $0.01 | +$6.56 | 65% 21845-12018 (33863) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19816-18956 (38772) |
Invested
$259.34
Value
$264.64
PnL
+$5.29
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$91.36
Value
$93.2
PnL
+$1.84
Record
51%
6891-6570 (13461)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.93
Value
β
PnL
-$6.93
Record
46%
37909-44573 (82482)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.88
Value
β
PnL
-$4.88
Record
55%
44184-36684 (80868)
Invested
$16.09
Value
$27.45
PnL
+$11.36
Record
55%
17349-13981 (31330)
Invested
$10.99
Value
$12.57
PnL
+$1.58
Record
66%
124678-64187 (188865)
Invested
$2.93
Value
$5.53
PnL
+$2.6
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
Invested
$2.05
Value
β
PnL
-$2.05
Record
61%
94030-59124 (153154)
Invested
$0.11
Value
β
PnL
-$0.11
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$22.34
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$6.56
Record
65%
21845-12018 (33863)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19816-18956 (38772)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $264.64
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded

pspspsps5
CTRDown β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRDown β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $27.45
asdaefef
Up β $12.57
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $5.53
asidjasiodja
CTRDown β $0
thesidehustle
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
Up β $0.01