Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 54%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
-$69.72
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$11.76 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 9.5¢ | $342.65 | $182.41 | -$160.24 | 51% 6891-6570 (13461) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 9.5¢ | $215.14 | — | -$215.14 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.9¢ | $127.51 | $182.41 | +$54.89 | |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 63.9¢ | $50.39 | $61.96 | +$11.57 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 61.8¢ | $30.2 | $48.9 | +$18.7 | 58% 12517-9161 (21678) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 60.7¢ | $34.3 | — | -$34.3 | 55% 17349-13981 (31330) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.8¢ | $54.72 | — | -$54.72 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $16.93 | $20.55 | +$3.61 | 55% 44184-36684 (80868) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $19.8 | $20.2 | +$0.4 | 65% 124345-66513 (190858) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.9¢ | $13.46 | — | -$13.46 | 63% 51314-30185 (81499) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.2¢ | $12.06 | — | -$12.06 | 61% 94030-59124 (153154) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $11.72 | $20.21 | +$8.49 | 65% 21845-12018 (33863) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $7.47 | — | -$7.47 | 66% 124678-64187 (188865) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $2.8 | $5 | +$2.2 | 64% 39741-22699 (62440) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.2¢ | $4.45 | — | -$4.45 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
Invested
$1,163.89
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$11.76
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$342.65
Value
$182.41
PnL
-$160.24
Record
51%
6891-6570 (13461)
Both legs:
Invested
$50.39
Value
$61.96
PnL
+$11.57
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$30.2
Value
$48.9
PnL
+$18.7
Record
58%
12517-9161 (21678)
Invested
$34.3
Value
—
PnL
-$34.3
Record
55%
17349-13981 (31330)
Invested
$54.72
Value
—
PnL
-$54.72
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.93
Value
$20.55
PnL
+$3.61
Record
55%
44184-36684 (80868)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$20.2
PnL
+$0.4
Record
65%
124345-66513 (190858)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$13.46
Value
—
PnL
-$13.46
Record
63%
51314-30185 (81499)
Invested
$12.06
Value
—
PnL
-$12.06
Record
61%
94030-59124 (153154)
Invested
$11.72
Value
$20.21
PnL
+$8.49
Record
65%
21845-12018 (33863)
Invested
$7.47
Value
—
PnL
-$7.47
Record
66%
124678-64187 (188865)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.2
Record
64%
39741-22699 (62440)
Invested
$4.45
Value
—
PnL
-$4.45
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thesidehustle
Down — $61.96
wowitsamazing
Down — $48.9
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $20.55
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20.2
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0