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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 73%

Total Value

$92.49

Combined PnL

-$62.78

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares937
Combined PnL-$94.35
Down3 traders
Total Value$92.49
Total Shares92
Combined PnL+$31.57
Up — 73%Down — 27%
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$28.2

Value

—

PnL

-$28.2

Record

58%

37406-26644 (64050)

LI
Little-big<$100
Down

Invested

$31.8

Value

$60

PnL

+$28.2

Record

34%

18536-35559 (54095)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.63

Value

—

PnL

-$5.63

Record

59%

62001-43068 (105069)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.47

Value

—

PnL

-$4.47

Record

46%

37909-44573 (82482)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$18.2

Value

$20.22

PnL

+$2.02

Record

65%

124345-66513 (190858)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$19.62

Value

—

PnL

-$11.63

Record

65%

21845-12018 (33863)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$10.92

Value

$12.27

PnL

+$1.35

Record

66%

124678-64187 (188865)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.7

Value

—

PnL

-$3.7

Record

55%

17349-13981 (31330)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.3

Value

—

PnL

-$4.3

Record

51%

19816-18956 (38772)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.17

Value

—

PnL

-$6.17

Record

55%

44184-36684 (80868)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$30.26

Value

—

PnL

-$30.26

Record

51%

6891-6570 (13461)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xe72d5c2c...d82a00
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793218200

Traders in this Market

0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$28.2
LI

Little-big

Down — $60

+$28.2
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.63

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.47
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $20.22

+$2.02
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$11.63
AS

asdaefef

Down — $12.27

+$1.35
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.7
DE

devonpoll

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.3

MayorMamdani

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.17
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