Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 50%
$295.72
-$54.21
Smart Money Signal
7 of 15 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $206.7 | $208.79 | +$2.09 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.8Β’ | $40.95 | β | -$40.95 | 51% 6891-6570 (13461) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $23.31 | $19 | -$4.31 | 61% 94030-59124 (153154) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91.2Β’ | $16.74 | $16 | -$0.74 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 58.7Β’ | $15.67 | $26.67 | +$11 | 34% 18536-35559 (54095) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 42Β’ | $10.62 | β | -$10.62 | 62% 43601-26547 (70148) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.1Β’ | $7.44 | β | -$7.44 | 55% 17349-13981 (31330) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $10.89 | $11 | +$0.11 | 66% 124678-64187 (188865) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 45Β’ | $4.5 | β | -$4.5 | 58% 50806-36950 (87756) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 59Β’ | $5.9 | $10 | +$4.1 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $2.69 | β | -$2.69 | 56% 57617-44504 (102121) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 37Β’ | $1.85 | β | -$1.85 | 58% 60145-43906 (104051) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $2.26 | $4.26 | +$2 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.4 | β | -$0.4 | 46% 37909-44573 (82482) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19816-18956 (38772) |
Invested
$206.7
Value
$208.79
PnL
+$2.09
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$40.95
Value
β
PnL
-$40.95
Record
51%
6891-6570 (13461)
Invested
$23.31
Value
$19
PnL
-$4.31
Record
61%
94030-59124 (153154)
Invested
$16.74
Value
$16
PnL
-$0.74
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
Invested
$15.67
Value
$26.67
PnL
+$11
Record
34%
18536-35559 (54095)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10.62
Value
β
PnL
-$10.62
Record
62%
43601-26547 (70148)
Invested
$7.44
Value
β
PnL
-$7.44
Record
55%
17349-13981 (31330)
Invested
$10.89
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.11
Record
66%
124678-64187 (188865)
Invested
$4.5
Value
β
PnL
-$4.5
Record
58%
50806-36950 (87756)
Invested
$5.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.1
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$2.69
Value
β
PnL
-$2.69
Record
56%
57617-44504 (102121)
Invested
$1.85
Value
β
PnL
-$1.85
Record
58%
60145-43906 (104051)
Invested
$2.26
Value
$4.26
PnL
+$2
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
β
PnL
-$0.4
Record
46%
37909-44573 (82482)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19816-18956 (38772)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $208.79
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $19
dvasdkasodk
Down β $16
Little-big
Down β $26.67

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $11
PBot-6
CTRUp β $0
thesidehustle
Down β $10