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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.7K

Combined PnL

$55.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,537

Combined PnL+$65.63

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares156

Combined PnL-$9.84

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.5¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$16.21	93% 22666-1735 (24401)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 68¢	$118.99	$120	+$1.01	51% 6891-6570 (13461)
└ Down leg	Downavg 13.9¢	$37.39	—	-$37.39
└ Up leg	Upavg 68¢	$81.6	$120	+$38.4
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 92.3¢	$276.91	$300	+$23.09	48% 23081-25212 (48293)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 90.4¢	$38.07	$38.72	+$0.65	61% 94030-59124 (153154)
LI Little-big<$100	Upavg 64.2¢	$23.76	$37	+$13.24	34% 18536-35559 (54095)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 84¢	$21.07	$25.08	+$4.01	64% 39741-22699 (62440)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 75¢	$18.75	$25	+$6.25	55% 17349-13981 (31330)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 13.5¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	54% 10483-8946 (19429)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 89.7¢	$12.38	$13.81	+$1.43	52% 89477-83931 (173408)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 85¢	$4.25	$5	+$0.75	58% 60145-43906 (104051)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2.6¢	$2.95	—	-$2.95	46% 37909-44573 (82482)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 15.6¢	$42.8	—	-$4.19	65% 124345-66513 (190858)

Invested

$1,076.32

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$16.21

Record

93%

22666-1735 (24401)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$118.99

Value

$120

PnL

+$1.01

Record

51%

6891-6570 (13461)

Both legs:

Down$37.3913.9¢-$37.39

Up$81.668¢+$38.4

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$276.91

Value

$300

PnL

+$23.09

Record

48%

23081-25212 (48293)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$38.07

Value

$38.72

PnL

+$0.65

Record

61%

94030-59124 (153154)

Little-big<$100

Invested

$23.76

Value

$37

PnL

+$13.24

Record

34%

18536-35559 (54095)

Invested

$21.07

Value

$25.08

PnL

+$4.01

Record

64%

39741-22699 (62440)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$18.75

Value

$25

PnL

+$6.25

Record

55%

17349-13981 (31330)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

54%

10483-8946 (19429)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$12.38

Value

$13.81

PnL

+$1.43

Record

52%

89477-83931 (173408)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$4.25

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.75

Record

58%

60145-43906 (104051)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.95

Value

—

PnL

-$2.95

Record

46%

37909-44573 (82482)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$42.8

Value

—

PnL

-$4.19

Record

65%

124345-66513 (190858)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1c2fe1c9...a78404

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793217600

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.1K

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $300

asidjasiodja

Up — $38.72

Little-big

Up — $37

ohioism

Up — $25.08

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $25

thesidehustle

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $13.81

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $5

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