Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 81%
2 arb excluded
$950.32
$62.14
Smart Money Signal
13 of 16 top traders (81%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $342.96 | $447.97 | +$105.01 | 51% 6853-6542 (13395) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.5¢ | $226.38 | $447.97 | +$221.59 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27.3¢ | $116.58 | — | -$116.58 | |
KA Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100 | Downavg 51.2¢ | $103.4 | $66.99 | -$36.41 | 55% 17309-13927 (31236) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 63.5¢ | $42.55 | $66.99 | +$24.44 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 51.2¢ | $60.85 | — | -$60.85 | |
AS asidjasiodja | Upavg 81.8¢ | $102.14 | $82.04 | -$20.1 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 47.9¢ | $29.81 | $62.18 | +$32.36 | 62% 43590-26534 (70124) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 57.5¢ | $31.39 | $46.55 | +$15.17 | 54% 10468-8936 (19404) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $20.16 | $50.39 | +$30.23 | 74% 102149-36316 (138465) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $27.7 | $45.39 | +$17.69 | 58% 37384-26627 (64011) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 86.2¢ | $36.94 | $42.86 | +$5.92 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $20.5 | — | -$20.5 | 56% 57606-44494 (102100) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 81.2¢ | $25.47 | $24.23 | -$1.24 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 56.3¢ | $16.9 | — | -$16.9 | 58% 60135-43896 (104031) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $12.06 | $21.16 | +$9.1 | 64% 39732-22693 (62425) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 53.1¢ | $8.28 | $15.6 | +$7.32 | 55% 44146-36636 (80782) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $12.27 | $19.79 | +$7.52 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $10.92 | — | -$10.92 | 66% 98656-51035 (149691) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $11.2 | $11.12 | -$0.08 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $13 | $12.41 | +$5.56 | 51% 19801-18940 (38741) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $0.64 | $1.64 | +$1 | 58% 50801-36942 (87743) |
Invested
$342.96
Value
$447.97
PnL
+$105.01
Record
51%
6853-6542 (13395)
Both legs:
Invested
$103.4
Value
$66.99
PnL
-$36.41
Record
55%
17309-13927 (31236)
Both legs:
Invested
$102.14
Value
$82.04
PnL
-$20.1
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$29.81
Value
$62.18
PnL
+$32.36
Record
62%
43590-26534 (70124)
Invested
$31.39
Value
$46.55
PnL
+$15.17
Record
54%
10468-8936 (19404)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$20.16
Value
$50.39
PnL
+$30.23
Record
74%
102149-36316 (138465)
Invested
$27.7
Value
$45.39
PnL
+$17.69
Record
58%
37384-26627 (64011)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$36.94
Value
$42.86
PnL
+$5.92
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
Invested
$20.5
Value
—
PnL
-$20.5
Record
56%
57606-44494 (102100)
Invested
$25.47
Value
$24.23
PnL
-$1.24
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
Invested
$16.9
Value
—
PnL
-$16.9
Record
58%
60135-43896 (104031)
ohioism<$100Invested
$12.06
Value
$21.16
PnL
+$9.1
Record
64%
39732-22693 (62425)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.28
Value
$15.6
PnL
+$7.32
Record
55%
44146-36636 (80782)
Invested
$12.27
Value
$19.79
PnL
+$7.52
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
Invested
$10.92
Value
—
PnL
-$10.92
Record
66%
98656-51035 (149691)
Invested
$11.2
Value
$11.12
PnL
-$0.08
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
Invested
$13
Value
$12.41
PnL
+$5.56
Record
51%
19801-18940 (38741)
Invested
$0.64
Value
$1.64
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
50801-36942 (87743)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Kathod-Shi-14
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asidjasiodja
Up — $82.04
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $62.18
thesidehustle
Up — $46.55
BoneOhio
Up — $50.39
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $45.39
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $42.86
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $24.23